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Red65
96388.6
7423.1
592716.2
Blue16
78114.6
52278.6
922810.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502204060806516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#5
23.11.0
21.622.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 13.1
9228
#13
10.00.5
10.29.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Second
5927
#15
16.21.1
13.114.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End1.0
red by 7.6
5227
#34
8.60.6
8.78.0
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
Third
9638
#22
8.61.0
7.48.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 4.0
7811
#33
4.60.5
4.74.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed