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Red45
550115.5
592616.2
705410.3
Blue72
78145.7
205431.3
567522.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406502060801004572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#24
16.20.5
15.215.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 15.1
31.31.0
29.430.3
Auto12.0
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
5501
#20
15.50.5
12.913.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
blue by 7.3
22.91.0
21.322.3
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Third
7054
#30
10.30.5
10.911.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 4.6
7814
#29
5.70.7
5.36.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed