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Red38
19408.9
976315.1
584318.1
Blue51
7423.1
485515.7
477616.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404620305060703851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#25
18.10.1
13.213.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End1.0
blue by 5.1
74
#5
23.11.1
15.116.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
9763
#27
15.10.0
13.213.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End2.6
blue by 1.0
4776
#19
16.11.1
14.215.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Third
1940
#21
8.90.1
10.310.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End0.6
blue by 6.8
4855
#16
15.71.1
11.512.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed