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Red23
52278.6
51826.9
550115.5
Blue35
55596.6
561013.9
92396.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2726102030402335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#20
15.50.0
9.39.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 1.7
5610
#17
13.90.0
10.911.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Second
5227
#34
8.60.0
7.57.5
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
red by 1.9
9239
#28
6.70.0
6.16.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Third
5182
#32
6.90.0
6.06.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
red by 0.3
5559
#37
6.60.0
7.67.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed