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Red25
505613.0
592616.2
658810.9
Blue43
72107.2
362019.1
354620.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344510203040506070802543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#24
16.21.0
13.212.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 4.1
3546
#10
20.30.7
16.415.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Second
5056
#18
13.01.0
11.610.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 6.1
19.10.7
16.816.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Third
6588
#31
10.90.6
7.36.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
red by 3.7
7210
#36
7.20.7
6.05.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed