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Red59
96714.8
276733.5
7423.1
Blue64
96388.6
205431.3
354620.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686602040801001201401605964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.3
33.733.4
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 2.3
31.30.0
31.131.1
Auto12.0
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
74
#5
23.10.3
22.722.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 2.8
3546
#10
20.30.0
20.720.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
9671
#38
4.80.3
5.14.8
Auto1.2
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 3.8
9638
#22
8.60.0
8.48.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed