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Red46
584318.1
78114.6
362019.1
Blue81
571232.0
550115.5
922810.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426220801004681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.4
19.119.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 12.9
32.01.1
29.831.0
Auto13.6
Teleop16.4
End2.0
Second
5843
#25
18.10.4
17.217.6
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End1.0
red by 2.5
5501
#20
15.51.1
14.215.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
7811
#33
4.60.4
4.24.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 5.5
9228
#13
10.01.0
9.710.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed