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Red78
205431.3
550115.5
276733.5
Blue33
505613.0
423728.3
345214.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92602040801001201407833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.0
33.333.3
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 5.3
28.30.7
28.828.2
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
31.30.0
31.031.0
Auto12.0
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 16.8
14.50.7
15.114.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
5501
#20
15.50.0
15.315.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 2.5
5056
#18
13.00.7
14.013.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4