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Red82
89425.3
96388.6
571232.0
Blue79
485515.7
7423.1
567522.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73662040801001201408279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.4
31.832.2
Auto13.6
Teleop16.4
End2.0
red by 8.9
74
#5
23.10.4
22.823.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
894
#3
25.30.4
25.125.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End1.8
red by 2.5
22.90.4
22.522.9
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Third
9638
#22
8.60.4
8.48.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 7.1
4855
#16
15.70.4
15.315.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6