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Red63
48384.5
150629.5
7029.6
Blue13
55318.3
50653.6
97333.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5932040801006313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#7
29.60.8
23.123.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
red by 21.3
5531
#27
8.30.3
5.76.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.5
Second
29.50.8
21.222.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 26.0
5065
#30
3.60.3
1.82.1
Auto1.5
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Third
4838
#22
4.50.8
2.43.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.6
red by 1.2
9733
#25
3.40.3
1.71.9
Auto2.0
Teleop0.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed