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Red40
356816.6
92525.4
838512.7
Blue21
924212.0
96974.1
973110.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372702060804021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#14
16.60.5
12.713.2
Auto7.9
Teleop5.6
End3.0
red by 4.5
9242
#37
12.01.1
12.711.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End2.2
Second
8385
#16
12.70.5
10.811.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 2.5
9731
#18
10.21.1
7.66.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Third
9252
#36
5.40.5
9.09.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.5
red by 1.2
9697
#24
4.11.3
5.64.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed