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Red89
150629.5
765614.5
213725.8
Blue53
168423.1
96974.1
925110.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65270204060801008953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.52.0
20.422.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 6.5
1684
#10
23.11.3
14.916.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Second
25.82.0
20.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.0
End1.9
red by 15.5
9251
#26
10.31.3
9.911.2
Auto6.2
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Third
7656
#28
14.52.0
12.914.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.4
red by 10.4
9697
#24
4.11.3
4.25.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed