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Red44
50653.6
49430.1
924212.0
Blue96
365629.9
945511.1
505017.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4056020801004496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
30.10.4
25.926.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End5.9
red by 0.2
29.90.8
23.524.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Second
9242
#37
12.00.4
11.311.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End2.2
blue by 5.3
5050
#15
17.30.8
13.914.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
5065
#30
3.60.4
1.31.6
Auto1.5
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 7.6
9455
#29
11.10.8
11.612.4
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed