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Red56
170129.3
48384.5
973110.2
Blue29
96797.1
97574.6
718817.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46250204060801005629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.6
28.128.8
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End1.1
red by 11.4
7188
#11
17.80.1
11.211.1
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Second
9731
#18
10.20.6
8.38.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 3.0
9679
#32
7.10.1
7.47.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Third
4838
#22
4.50.6
2.93.5
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.6
blue by 0.1
9757
#38
4.60.1
6.96.8
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed