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Red43
96512.7
356816.6
309810.4
Blue57
97333.4
918218.2
36195.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30290204060801004357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#14
16.60.7
13.113.8
Auto7.9
Teleop5.6
End3.0
blue by 1.7
9182
#35
18.20.0
16.516.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Second
3098
#34
10.40.7
9.510.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 5.2
3619
#23
5.10.0
6.96.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Third
9651
#39
2.70.7
4.45.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.0
End0.5
blue by 0.7
9733
#25
3.40.0
3.23.3
Auto2.0
Teleop0.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed