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Red11
97483.1
55318.3
925110.3
Blue23
45686.2
552710.8
97769.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2625101520303540451123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9251
#26
10.31.1
11.210.1
Auto6.2
Teleop2.2
End1.9
blue by 0.5
5527
#13
10.80.0
8.88.8
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Second
5531
#27
8.31.1
6.55.4
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.5
blue by 1.4
9776
#21
9.70.0
10.010.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
9748
#33
3.11.1
5.24.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End0.6
blue by 3.2
4568
#20
6.20.0
4.24.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed