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Red6
96974.1
96797.1
96512.7
Blue56
97769.7
718817.8
765614.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164306080100656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9679
#32
7.10.8
7.36.5
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 10.7
7188
#11
17.81.3
11.112.4
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Second
9697
#24
4.10.8
5.54.7
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End1.5
blue by 10.4
7656
#28
14.51.3
14.916.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
9651
#39
2.70.8
5.24.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.0
End0.5
blue by 7.0
9776
#21
9.71.3
10.011.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed