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Red52
50653.6
918218.2
838512.7
Blue46
170129.3
97483.1
97574.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33450204060801005246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9182
#35
18.20.1
16.516.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 11.0
29.30.0
28.828.7
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
8385
#16
12.70.1
13.113.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 8.1
9757
#38
4.60.0
6.86.7
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End1.8
Third
5065
#30
3.60.1
1.61.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.5
End0.5
red by 0.5
9748
#33
3.10.0
4.14.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed