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Red67
45686.2
31424.2
168423.1
Blue12
92525.4
48384.5
36195.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521604060801001206712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#4
24.21.6
20.422.0
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 18.8
9252
#36
5.40.4
8.07.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Second
1684
#10
23.11.6
17.819.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End2.3
red by 17.9
3619
#23
5.10.4
6.96.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Third
4568
#20
6.21.6
4.25.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.5
red by 1.7
4838
#22
4.50.4
3.53.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed