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Red46
945511.1
973110.2
812612.1
Blue55
724714.7
97517.1
213725.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31510204060801004655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#17
12.10.6
9.19.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 13.7
25.80.8
22.923.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.0
End1.9
Second
9455
#29
11.10.6
12.412.9
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End2.7
blue by 3.6
7247
#19
14.70.8
15.215.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End1.8
Third
9731
#18
10.20.6
8.99.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 3.1
9751
#31
7.10.8
5.56.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed