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Red54
918218.2
97769.7
150629.5
Blue47
776941.2
765614.5
96974.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55672040801001205447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
23.423.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.8
End4.2
blue by 11.6
41.20.9
38.037.1
Auto15.2
Teleop22.3
End3.6
Second
9182
#35
18.20.2
16.516.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 3.7
7656
#28
14.50.9
16.315.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
9776
#21
9.70.2
11.411.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 5.5
9697
#24
4.10.9
4.73.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed