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Red36
36195.1
168423.1
50653.6
Blue43
356816.6
97483.1
31424.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28480204060803643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#10
23.10.4
19.519.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 1.1
314
#4
24.20.1
22.022.2
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Second
3619
#23
5.10.4
6.56.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 11.4
3568
#14
16.60.1
14.814.9
Auto7.9
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Third
5065
#30
3.60.4
1.72.1
Auto1.5
Teleop1.5
End0.5
red by 0.5
9748
#33
3.10.1
4.04.2
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed