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Red40
924212.0
97333.4
150629.5
Blue6
36195.1
973110.2
97769.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4530020406080406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.3
23.623.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 19.4
9731
#18
10.21.5
10.28.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Second
9242
#37
12.00.3
10.710.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End2.2
red by 2.4
9776
#21
9.71.5
11.510.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
9733
#25
3.40.3
4.84.5
Auto2.0
Teleop0.4
End1.0
blue by 1.8
3619
#23
5.11.5
6.95.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed