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Red41
50653.6
353423.7
765614.5
Blue53
724714.7
168423.1
561219.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406320801004153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#12
23.70.1
21.721.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 0.6
1684
#10
23.10.1
19.919.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Second
7656
#28
14.50.1
15.315.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 4.6
19.20.1
19.319.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Third
5065
#30
3.60.1
2.12.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 11.1
7247
#19
14.70.1
14.914.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed