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Red23
309810.4
724714.7
96974.1
Blue56
97483.1
7029.6
924212.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33490204060802356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7247
#19
14.70.6
14.113.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End1.8
blue by 14.9
70
#7
29.60.9
27.428.3
Auto10.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Second
3098
#34
10.40.6
13.512.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 1.7
9242
#37
12.00.9
10.811.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End2.2
Third
9697
#24
4.10.6
4.43.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End1.5
red by 1.1
9748
#33
3.10.9
4.55.4
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed