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Red56
925110.3
97769.7
213725.8
Blue52
353423.7
918218.2
92525.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4750102030406070805652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.2
24.724.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.0
End1.9
red by 2.1
3534
#12
23.70.5
22.923.4
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
9251
#26
10.30.2
8.78.9
Auto6.2
Teleop2.2
End1.9
blue by 7.9
9182
#35
18.20.5
16.216.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Third
9776
#21
9.70.2
9.49.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 4.3
9252
#36
5.40.5
5.86.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed