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Red71
365629.9
36195.1
49430.1
Blue26
765614.5
812612.1
96512.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72290204060801007126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
30.10.7
28.028.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End5.9
red by 15.5
7656
#28
14.50.3
14.714.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Second
29.90.7
27.328.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.0
End2.0
red by 17.7
8126
#17
12.10.3
12.512.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Third
3619
#23
5.10.7
4.95.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 2.4
9651
#39
2.70.3
3.83.5
Auto2.2
Teleop0.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed