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Red62
7029.6
96974.1
31424.2
Blue59
97574.6
97333.4
776941.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64512040801006259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#7
29.60.3
28.328.6
Auto10.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
blue by 11.5
41.20.5
39.740.2
Auto15.2
Teleop22.3
End3.6
Second
314
#4
24.20.3
23.824.1
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 19.5
9757
#38
4.60.5
4.55.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End1.8
Third
9697
#24
4.10.3
3.84.0
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End1.5
red by 0.8
9733
#25
3.40.5
3.23.7
Auto2.0
Teleop0.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed