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Red45
49430.1
45686.2
724714.7
Blue18
96797.1
973110.2
309810.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573002040801004518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
30.10.2
28.728.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End5.9
red by 19.7
3098
#34
10.41.2
12.911.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Second
7247
#19
14.70.2
13.513.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End1.8
red by 4.5
9731
#18
10.21.2
10.69.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Third
4568
#20
6.20.2
6.36.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.5
blue by 0.9
9679
#32
7.11.2
7.05.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed