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Red71
170129.3
50653.6
505017.3
Blue11
96512.7
36195.1
55318.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601302040801007111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.7
29.930.6
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End1.1
red by 21.0
5531
#27
8.30.4
7.97.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.5
Second
5050
#15
17.30.7
16.016.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 12.2
3619
#23
5.10.4
5.65.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Third
5065
#30
3.60.7
2.73.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.5
End0.5
red by 0.9
9651
#39
2.70.4
3.53.1
Auto2.2
Teleop0.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed