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Red38
170129.3
31424.2
309810.4
Blue47
838512.7
356816.6
561219.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755202040601001203847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.6
29.829.2
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End1.1
red by 10.1
19.20.1
19.619.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Second
314
#4
24.20.6
24.724.0
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 7.6
3568
#14
16.60.1
17.016.8
Auto7.9
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Third
3098
#34
10.40.6
10.910.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 2.3
8385
#16
12.70.1
13.112.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3