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Red40
505017.3
812612.1
552710.8
Blue77
213725.8
97769.7
353423.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426702060801001204077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#15
17.30.1
17.417.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 8.5
25.80.4
25.325.7
Auto9.0
Teleop15.0
End1.9
Second
8126
#17
12.10.1
12.312.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 11.6
3534
#12
23.70.4
23.123.6
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Third
5527
#13
10.80.1
10.910.8
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 1.1
9776
#21
9.70.4
9.19.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7