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Red70
118818.7
171827.4
30813.6
Blue5
88265.5
20110.4
95287.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66230406080100705

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#21
27.40.3
23.423.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 17.0
201
#41
10.41.4
9.37.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Second
1188
#14
18.70.3
18.217.9
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End1.8
red by 10.9
9528
#42
7.70.7
7.56.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Third
308
#13
13.60.3
13.012.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End2.2
red by 8.1
8826
#27
5.52.4
7.85.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed