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Red32
66166.9
656611.4
21712.9
Blue19
653210.1
771610.2
57323.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3339152025304550553219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#16
12.90.2
13.313.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 10.3
573
#7
23.21.0
14.613.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Second
6566
#39
11.40.3
10.09.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
red by 1.2
7716
#23
10.21.7
9.77.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Third
6616
#29
6.90.3
7.57.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 3.2
6532
#30
10.11.7
10.28.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed