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Red63
33029.0
717824.0
24527.2
Blue67
296019.7
776221.3
6823.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55543040506070806367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#6
27.20.8
22.423.2
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End2.0
red by 3.7
68
#10
23.51.1
19.520.6
Auto10.5
Teleop10.8
End2.2
Second
7178
#22
24.00.8
17.318.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 2.7
7762
#12
21.31.8
8.710.5
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
Third
3302
#37
9.01.3
9.711.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.7
End0.7
blue by 10.7
2960
#18
19.71.1
20.521.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned