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Red61
285126.0
283422.3
52253.6
Blue58
955813.0
543635.5
95287.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554902040801001201401606158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.5
22.222.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
blue by 9.5
35.50.7
29.129.9
Auto13.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Second
22.30.5
18.919.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End1.3
red by 9.3
9558
#19
13.01.2
8.910.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
5225
#32
3.60.8
7.98.7
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End0.0
blue by 4.1
9528
#42
7.71.2
6.88.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed