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Red17
71459.9
88265.5
656611.4
Blue39
21712.9
50467.5
52148.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28340204060801739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6566
#39
11.41.0
10.29.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
blue by 1.4
217
#16
12.90.3
12.813.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End0.6
Second
7145
#24
9.90.6
6.35.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End1.4
red by 1.5
5214
#25
8.30.4
9.39.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Third
8826
#27
5.51.0
9.48.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
blue by 2.0
5046
#40
7.50.3
7.98.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed