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Red20
81819.4
95287.7
961815.4
Blue58
71888.1
57323.2
296019.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415202060801001201402058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#15
19.42.0
20.118.0
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 3.8
573
#7
23.20.0
15.916.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Second
9618
#28
15.41.2
10.08.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 4.3
2960
#18
19.70.0
21.621.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End3.5
Third
9528
#42
7.72.0
8.06.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 0.4
7188
#26
8.10.1
8.08.0
Auto5.2
Teleop0.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned