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Red68
285126.0
656710.2
43841.6
Blue23
20110.4
653210.1
52253.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41250102030506070806823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.8
22.723.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
red by 15.6
201
#41
10.40.1
8.28.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Second
6567
#35
10.21.4
8.59.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 0.1
6532
#30
10.10.2
7.67.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.3
Third
4384
#34
1.60.8
4.15.0
Auto0.2
Teleop0.6
End0.7
blue by 2.0
5225
#32
3.60.2
8.78.6
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed