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Red58
21712.9
24721.7
118818.7
Blue47
171827.4
92529.6
88265.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5839020801005847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#9
21.70.5
16.417.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End2.8
blue by 5.8
1718
#21
27.40.6
24.124.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Second
1188
#14
18.70.5
20.421.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End1.8
red by 9.1
9252
#31
9.61.1
4.75.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End0.6
Third
217
#16
12.90.5
13.113.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End0.6
red by 7.4
8826
#27
5.51.1
8.49.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed