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Red34
96796.2
66166.9
717824.0
Blue69
81819.4
283422.3
71888.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335301020406070803469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7178
#22
24.00.2
17.817.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 1.7
22.30.9
19.420.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
6616
#29
6.90.3
5.55.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 12.5
818
#15
19.41.5
18.019.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
9679
#33
6.20.3
8.88.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.0
blue by 1.9
7188
#26
8.11.5
8.09.5
Auto5.2
Teleop0.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned