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Red70
57323.2
46922.9
499827.5
Blue72
543635.5
20110.4
285126.0
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6967506080907072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.6
23.824.4
Auto7.8
Teleop17.1
End2.5
blue by 8.0
35.50.7
29.930.6
Auto13.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Second
573
#7
23.20.6
16.016.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.3
blue by 2.8
26.00.7
23.524.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Third
469
#17
22.90.6
21.422.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.1
End1.9
red by 12.5
201
#41
10.40.7
8.18.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed