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Red77
88265.5
955813.0
24527.2
Blue58
717824.0
46922.9
50467.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465502040801001207758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#6
27.20.1
25.625.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End2.0
red by 3.2
7178
#22
24.00.3
18.318.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
9558
#19
13.00.2
8.99.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 9.8
469
#17
22.90.3
21.922.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Third
8826
#27
5.50.2
8.48.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
blue by 2.0
5046
#40
7.50.3
8.38.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed