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Red46
124.1
656710.2
66166.9
Blue56
118818.7
296019.7
71459.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425502060801004656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#20
24.10.4
22.623.0
Auto10.7
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 4.3
2960
#18
19.70.5
20.621.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End3.5
Second
6567
#35
10.20.7
10.311.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 8.5
1188
#14
18.70.5
21.722.2
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Third
6616
#29
6.90.7
6.77.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 2.9
7145
#24
9.90.5
6.06.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed