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Red34
656611.4
50467.5
24721.7
Blue61
30813.6
717824.0
88265.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424501001502003461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#9
21.70.6
20.319.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End2.8
blue by 2.4
7178
#22
24.00.4
18.619.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
6566
#39
11.41.0
9.48.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
blue by 2.1
308
#13
13.60.4
13.013.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End2.2
Third
5046
#40DQ
7.50.6
8.68.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
8826
#27
5.50.6
8.69.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed