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Red35
92529.6
955813.0
20110.4
Blue57
71459.9
6823.5
66166.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2441060803557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9558
#19
13.01.3
9.210.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 10.5
68
#10
23.51.1
21.322.4
Auto10.5
Teleop10.8
End2.2
Second
201
#41
10.40.8
9.310.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.8
red by 0.6
7145
#24
9.91.1
6.57.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Third
9252
#31
9.61.3
4.96.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End0.6
red by 2.7
6616
#29
6.91.9
7.49.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed