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Red45
118818.7
124.1
43841.6
Blue64
283422.3
776221.3
57323.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54593040507080901004564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#20
24.10.3
23.022.7
Auto10.7
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 0.9
573
#7
23.20.7
18.919.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Second
1188
#14
18.70.3
22.221.9
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End1.8
blue by 3.7
22.30.7
19.019.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Third
4384
#34
1.60.3
4.34.0
Auto0.2
Teleop0.6
End0.7
blue by 19.8
7762
#12
21.31.2
15.116.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned