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Red40
81819.4
57323.2
71459.9
Blue6
52253.6
91026.1
43841.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5337206080406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#7
23.20.4
19.619.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.3
blue by 2.9
910
#11
26.11.9
23.021.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Second
818
#15
19.40.6
18.517.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End2.0
red by 15.8
5225
#32
3.63.0
8.15.1
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End0.0
Third
7145
#24
9.90.4
7.67.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End1.4
red by 8.3
4384
#34
1.61.9
4.02.0
Auto0.2
Teleop0.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed