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Red27
88265.5
83644.8
499827.5
Blue86
717824.0
653210.1
283422.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445402060801002786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.9
26.225.3
Auto7.8
Teleop17.1
End2.5
red by 3.5
7178
#22
24.01.4
19.020.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
8826
#27
5.51.4
9.27.8
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
blue by 16.9
22.31.4
19.721.2
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Third
8364
#38
4.80.9
5.34.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.8
End0.2
blue by 5.3
6532
#30
10.12.2
8.610.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned