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Red70
296019.7
285126.0
81819.4
Blue73
24721.7
543635.5
24527.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64750501001507073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.4
21.822.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
blue by 9.5
35.50.4
28.729.1
Auto13.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Second
2960
#18
19.70.4
20.120.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End3.5
blue by 7.5
245
#6
27.20.4
22.022.4
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End2.0
Third
818
#15
19.40.7
16.917.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 2.2
247
#9
21.70.4
15.816.3
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsEarned